Sub-Saharan Africa

  • Trend Assessment: Cameroon’s Anglophone problem

    November 20, 2017

    Since October 2016, growing secessionist sentiment has been brewing in Cameroon’s English-speaking regions. What originally began as a protest movement by legal practitioners and teachers using the English language, claiming that the majority French-speaking administration was discriminating against them on linguistic grounds, has gained momentum and escalated into violent confrontation between security forces and protesters, as well as armed attacks ...

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  • Trend Assessment: Somalia’s security paradox

    November 2, 2017

    • September: Sub-national government disagree over the country’s foreign policy positions
    • July to October: Incidents of fighting between different sections of the security apparatus leave several police and soldiers dead
    • 14 October: Al-Shabaab sympathisers stage deadliest attack in the capital, killing over 350 people

    Picture of the circle mogadishuIslamist terrorism, the perennial problem

    On ...

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  • Liberia’s general elections, a litmus test

    September 28, 2017

    On 10 October, Liberians will elect their next president and two legislative chambers in a watershed election with a potential for reigniting old grievances. The incumbent, President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf, is stepping down in accordance with the constitution which limits her to two six-year terms in office. However, there is no clear winning candidate on either side ...

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  • Zimbabwe’s Big Man falls ill

    August 21, 2017

    With one year left until the next general election – due to take place between July and August next year – the battle to succeed President Robert Mugabe is heating up. Again. Mugabe, the nonagenarian president who would rule Zimbabwe in perpetuity if he could, has travelled to Singapore three times this year for medical treatment. The authorities have stated ...

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  • Situation Report: Guinea’s balancing act in mining

    August 14, 2017

    Corruption investigations and constitutional reform are increasing political and stability risk in Guinea.

    The U.K.’s fraud office gets serious about Guinea

    A seemingly endless corruption scandal took a new turn on 23 July when the United Kingdom’s anti-corruption watchdog, the Serious Fraud Office, announced it had begun formal investigations into a ...

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