Asia-Pacific

  • The security impact of India’s uneven boom

    April 28, 2017

    India’s economy is undergoing a period of rapid but uneven transformation. Some states and territories are becoming much wealthier than others, very quickly. So far, this has not translated into worsening political and security risks, but this situation will not necessarily prevail.

    India’s gross domestic product is growing at around 7 per cent annually, according to official data. Put another way, ...

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  • Jakarta election results indicate growing instability ahead of Indonesia’s 2019 presidential poll

    April 26, 2017

    Jakarta’s gubernatorial election is second only to the national presidential polls in terms of political significance as it points towards the country’s likely future direction. The 2017 poll pitted an incumbent, and by Indonesian standards, unconventional governor against well-resourced, establishment-backed candidates. The outcome reflected darker and troubling echoes of the country’s past, with the twin axes of faith and ethnicity openly deployed in a successful bid to promote the winning candidate.

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  • North Korea: The myth of the hermetic republic

    April 21, 2017

    Beyond North Korea’s nuclear and military programme lies a dense web of global commercial networks. While most legitimate businesses are unlikely to be directly involved with activities related to North Korea, this report seeks to demonstrate that the potential for becoming involved with commercial entities and interests linked to the country and its leadership remains a threat. The increasing sophistication of North Korea’s methods and the inconsistent implementation of regulations by international agencies and individual countries expose multilateral corporations and global financial institutions to the risk of sanctions compliance.

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  • The Panama Papers and political risk in Pakistan

    March 28, 2017

    Last year’s scandal surrounding the leak of the so-called ‘Panama Papers’ has blown over in most of the affected countries. Not so in Pakistan. The leak implicated the family of Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, and has launched a legal battle that threatens his career and the country’s political stability.

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  • Thai government’s muted efforts to control Buddhist movement point toward further unrest

    March 28, 2017

    The origins of the present struggle between the military-led administration and the popular, even populist, Buddhist Dhammakaya movement, which in the West may be described as being between ‘church’ and ‘state’, are relatively recent. This reflects the Dhammakaya movement’s meteoric success in attracting huge numbers of local supporters, which paralleled the rapid and often highly destabilising changes Thai society and economy have undergone within little more than a generation.

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