• Philippines communist insurgency set to intensify

    February 8, 2018

    President Rodrigo Duterte appears intent on provoking the Communist Party of the Philippines–New People’s Army (CPP-NPA) through threats and arrests. The NPA is likely to respond by stepping up its campaign against state and commercial entities.

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  • India’s powderkeg state

    February 1, 2018

    Uttar Pradesh, a giant province that borders Delhi to the east, would be the world’s sixth-largest nationality were it an independent country. Now, a series of anti-Muslim policies enacted by its government is raising the risk of mass unrest in major cities such as Lucknow and Noida, and even the capital itself. 

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  • North Korea poses security risks to the Winter Olympics

    January 11, 2018

    The 2018 Winter Olympics in South Korea takes place amid heightened geopolitical uncertainties on the peninsula, despite the games bringing about a thawing in relations between Seoul and North Korea. This presents complicated economic and security risks for visitors and foreign businesses.

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  • 2018 Global Risk Forecast – Asia

    January 5, 2018

    Trade relations between China and the U.S. are likely to deteriorate in 2018 as U.S. lawmakers from both major parties call for tougher measures against Chinese investments and trade practices. One such effort is the Foreign Investment Risk Review Modernization Act (Firrma) introduced in November 2017. If enacted, this bill will significantly tighten the U.S. foreign investment review process, with China widely viewed – not least in Beijing – as the principal target.

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  • Crime in India – What the data says

    December 23, 2017

    The 2016 figures for crime in India are out. The report, published by the Ministry of Home Affairs, suggests that the country’s crime hotspots often overlap with areas frequented by foreign nationals.

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